Clear, concise, comprehensive horseracing analysis and insight from Paul Jones, former author of the Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide, concentrating on jump racing in addition to the best of the Flat and leading Sports events.
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From Soba To Moldova

26/11/17

The jumps season is now fully into top gear since my blog a fortnight ago and I thought it was interesting how many winners at the Cheltenham November Meeting ran at their two-day meeting the previous month, which I have banked into my memory for next season.

As many as seven winners at Cheltenham last weekend ran at the October Meeting and, just for the record, the same number ran at the Festival the previous season. Whether that is because the November Meeting is not as strong a fixture as before (the big two races of the BetVictor Gold Cup and Greatwood Hurdle were well below par in my view) or whether the October Meeting is getting better, I’m not sure.

The novice races in particular proved to be lucrative contests for punters following October Meeting form with North Hill Harvey, Black Corton and Slate House following up their successes from around three weeks earlier and Thomas Campbell also won at both meetings in handicaps. As for Perfect Candidate and Doitforthevillage, looking back at their runs in October, they very much ran like horses being put right for the following month’s meeting. I say that I have banked those results in my memory but what I mean by that is that I have made a written reference in a book which I keep specifically for this reason to remind me of things to look out for a year on, like in golf tournaments etc. so that I don’t forget as I get older!

Actually, one of the sub-sections of a chapter in the punting guidelines/theories book that I am currently writing is on note keeping in general. I think I’m going to call the book ‘From Soba To Moldova’ as Soba was the horse that first attracted me to racing and Moldova would represent my varied interest in many areas to bet on, in this case my fixation with the Eurovision Song Contest!

I’m finally pleased to say that I have now finished the first chapter!!! Fear not those members expecting to read it soon however, as that doesn’t mean I am miles away from going to print as I am over three-quarters of the way through all of the other 20+ chapters so I am still hanging my hat onto it being on members’ doormats sometime in January. The full list of alphabetical chapters, though they will appear in a different order when published, is as follows at present (liable to change):

1.      A New Dawn (basically about how I started the website and my thoughts so far and going forward on how it has gone)

2.      Action Bets

3.      Adapt or Die

4.      Angles

5.      Ante-Post Betting

6.      Be a Good Judge of Judges

7.      Concentrate on Festivals and Weekends

8.      Dealing with Losing Runs and Fine Margins

9.      Getting the Life Balance Right

10.  Internet Research Tools

11.  Keep Your Eyes Open and Ears Shut

12.  Make Eyes and Gut Instincts the Overriding Factor over Everything Else

13.  Make Time to Read More Betting Literature

14.  Placepot

15.  Punter Prejudices and Myth Debunking

16.  Ratings Schmatings

17.  Staking and Value

18.  The Most Successful Gamblers are not Favourite Backers

19.  The Value of Being There

20.  Treat Betting Like Running A Business

21.  Use Trends in the Right Way

Onto the action and Week 2 of the Cheltenham Festival Ante-Post Service will be uploaded on Monday at 7.00 p.m. Unusually for me I put up two bets in Week 1 but, just to let you know here and now in case anyone is dashing to read the copy on the 7.00 p.m. dot, there will be no ante-post recommendations going up tomorrow.

Lil Rockerfeller was a winner in Ante-Post Focus last week (the less said about the others) and I’ll be focussing on the Newbury Meeting in this Wednesday’s lunchtime copy. Last season we had Native River at 16/1 ante-post from six weeks earlier and Carole’s Destrier (2nd at 33/1) each-way on the day, so we are not going to beat that. That said, my 20/1 recommendation from a few weeks back is now half that price so I remain hopeful that we can go back to back.

Then I’ll cover Friday’s card including Thistlecrack vs Unowhatimeanharry on Thursday in Race Previews before looking at the weekend action on Friday in one of my favourite meetings of the year.

10 REASONS TO SIGN UP NOW

1.     In joining Paul Jones you will have private access to the views of a trusted, reliable, profitable-to-follow analyst and author of 33 horseracing books in an absorbing and entertaining, easy-to-follow, practical format written with purpose and authority.

2.     Access to the regular Ante-Post Focus articles whch have made members huge profits since we launched in November 2015 including Rule The World at 50/1 for the Grand National and Wings Of Eagles (SP 40/1) for the Derby amongst many other big-priced winners.

3.     Access to weekend previews throughout the bulk of the Jumps Season (averaging 12 races analysed per weekly column), every race at the Cheltenham, Aintree and Punchestown Festivals and the leading 30 days of the Flat Season.

4.     Access to an 18 weeks’ build up to the Cheltenham Festival (approx. 8000 words every Monday) with ante-post recommendations (level stakes profit of 44 points to date) to assist in building a long-range portfolio and a 6 weeks’ build up to Royal Ascot (7 winners from 17 ante-post recommendations in 2016).

5.     We also have all the major sporting events covered including the very profitable Football service (Premier League Picks made a level stakes profit of 31 points in 2016/17 following on from a 45 level stakes profit on the World Cup and Euro 2016) and we also have superb analysts in the fields of Golf, (Ciaran Meagher) Tennis (Carl Redden), Cricket (Paul Smith), Darts (Mike Henderson), NFL (Andy Richmond) and Politics (Adam Hewson). Click on ‘View Example Copy’ in the right-hand menu on the Home Page if you don’t believe us!

6.     If you are familiar with Paul from his industry-respected trends-related Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide which he wrote for 16 years, you can now access his unique Race Trends for approximately 110 racesthroughout the year including all races at Cheltenham Festival, Aintree Grand National Meeting and Royal Ascot.

7.     Access to weekly Horses to Follow throughout the Flat Season and horseracing guest contributions from Alan Potts, the author of the revered Against The Crowd and The Inside Track, Andy Richmond of RacingUK and Mark Ball, formerly of Let's Live Racing.

8.     Back access to every article ever written (we’re talking over 1000) in every area of the website since our launch in November 2015.

9.     Receive a copy of Paul’s new book to be printed at the end of 2017 which is not for sale and only available to website members.

10.    Very simple to sign up – please see below.

If you decide to sign up to either service we would require your address so an Invoice (with a copy of the Terms and Conditions) can be emailed to you within 24 hours of your confirmation with details of how to transfer funds. This will preferably be via Direct Bank Transfer (a Cheque is second preference). Once payment has been received you will be sent a Username and Password to access the subscription (padlocked icons) areas of the website.

Jumps Season Service

A 6 months' service running between November 16th 2017 (start of The November Meeting at Cheltenham) until the end of the Punchestown Festival 2018 focussing on weekend previews and Cheltenham Festival Ante-Post updates. Membership: £350.


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All-Inclusive Service

A 12 months’ service that can be ordered at any time featuring ALL the content encompassed within the Jumps Season Service in addition to Flat racing content, sport and added extras. Membership: £695.


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From Soba to Moldova

Paul's new book, 'From Soba To Moldova' focusses on his betting methodology, theories and philosophies broken down into 20 chapters at a cost of £20 which was published on February 26th 2018.


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